MLB- (10:05 ET, XM179) L.A. Angeles at Seattle

MLB- (10:05 ET, XM179) L.A. Angeles at Seattle

Los Angeles and Seattle have split lopsided wins the last two days


2007-05-17

MLB Baseball Betting

Los Angeles and Seattle have split lopsided wins the last two days, the Mariners taking the first game 11-3 and the Angels bouncing back behind John Lackey with a 5-0 whitewash. Now for the rubber game of the MLB betting series tonight, Bartolo Colon will start for Los Angeles; he is 4-0 with a 3.66 ERA. Colon is dominant 7-1 with a 1.98 ERA in nine starts at Safeco Field. Former Halos lefthander Jarrod Washburn gets the call to the mound for Seattle. Washburn has been sharp in spite of so-so 3-3 record with 2.64 ERA. In his last start he pitched eight shutout innings against the Yankees at home in 3-0 win. This he is 5-2 Under in seven starts and 3-1 against his former club in his career. Los Angeles leads the season series 4-1 and is 12-8 over the last two plus seasons in the Great Northwest.

Why the Angels win – The Los Angeles lumber is very inconsistent, ranking sixth in runs scored and is currently on an upswing scoring 5.9 runs per game in last seven outings, giving them 5-2 record. The Angels have been strong in situations like today facing a class pitcher like Washburn with 16-8 (+10.8 Units) record against the money line in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 or better. With L.A.’s normally solid pitching, Seattle is only 17-37 (-17.9 Units) against the ML vs. AL teams allowing 4.7 or less runs a game. Colon is 13-2 (+10.5 Units) against the ML in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last three MLB betting seasons. (Halos Record)

Why the Mariners win –Washburn is off to a considerable start in 2007 that has caught his manager’s eye. "He's pitched well enough to be 6-0," Mariners skipper Mike Hargrove said. The 32-year-old veteran has allowed three or fewer earned runs in six of his seven starts and opponents are batting just .217 against him. Washburn is 60-37 against the ML when the money line is +125 to -125 since 1997. (Team's Record) The Mariners are 7-5 after scoring less then four runs and 11-5 (+8.0 Units) against the money line after one or more consecutive Unders this baseball betting season. Seattle is 7-3 vs. teams with a losing road record.

Sportsbook.com Line – Seattle -120, 7.5

Top Totals Trends to Consider– Los Angeles is 26-14-1 UNDER for the 2007 campaign. Seattle’s Washburn is 15-4 UNDER in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 MLB betting seasons. (Team's Record)

Pick- The play in rubber game of the series is the Under. Colon has been scintillating in Seattle and is pitching very well currently. The same goes for Washburn who is moving the ball in the zone extremely well, keeping hitters off balance. Both teams have above average bullpens and can hold a one run lead late in tight games. Angels are 14-6-1 Under in all road games and the Mariners are 7-1 Under in last eight home games.

This game can be seen on MLB.TV or heard on XM Radio 179 starting at 10:05 Eastern. In the early going at the MLB Betting Trends page, 55 percent are on Los Angeles to take the series. Check back throughout the day to see updated figures.

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